GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/5/2024, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trento · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Trento are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fiorenzuola are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Trento hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Trento holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trento

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Trento has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrentoDDLLL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
FiorenzuolaDWDLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TrentoFiorenzuola
29.8Attack33.3
67.5Defence45.6
44.7Form33.3
49.2Power39.9
1.07xG0.58
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