GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/10/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Trento are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWLW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atalanta II are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LDWW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrentoWWLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Atalanta IILDWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
TrentoAtalanta II
29.8Attack37.7
67.5Defence68.4
44.7Form51.8
49.2Power54.4
0.59xG0.68
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