GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/11/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Trento are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Arzignano Valchiampo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Trento hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

51.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrentoLDWWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Arzignano ValchiampoLLLWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TrentoArzignano Valchiampo
29.8Attack28.1
67.5Defence67.5
44.7Form38.6
49.2Power46.1
0.63xG0.49
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