GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/28/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Trento are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Alessandria are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Trento hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrentoWWLDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AlessandriaWDLWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
TrentoAlessandria
29.8Attack17.5
67.5Defence57.9
44.7Form20.2
49.2Power34.3
0.85xG0.41
View match centre →