Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Trento are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Alcione are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.2 against 47.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60