GGOALVIO

Slovakia · Cup · 8/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Trnava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Trenčianske Stankovce are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Spartak Trnava are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Trenčianske Stankovce hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (86.2 v 75.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Cup, while Spartak Trnava holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Trnava

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

10.3%

Spartak Trnava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Trenčianske StankovceLDWWD

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Spartak TrnavaWWDDD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Trenčianske StankovceSpartak Trnava
83.3Attack75.0
100.0Defence79.2
83.3Form79.2
86.2Power75.1
1.67xG1.84
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