Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Trem are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tuna Luso are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Trem hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the Serie D, while Trem holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Trem
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Trem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20