Trelleborg Wvs
Elfsborg W
COMPLETEDSweden · Elitettan · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trelleborg W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trelleborg W 2-4 Elfsborg W
Original prediction
Trelleborg W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.19 | 21.6% | 43.5% | 21.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.1% | 24.3% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.67 | 54.3% | 32.3% | -22.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Trelleborg W
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Trelleborg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00