Trelleborgvs
Kristianstad
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trelleborg · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trelleborg 2-0 Kristianstad
Original prediction
Trelleborg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.0% | 72.7% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.61 | 19.6% | 16.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 6.70 | 13.5% | 10.4% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Trelleborg
Probability
72.7%
Model confidence
72.7%
Trelleborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80