Trelleborgvs
Hässleholms IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hässleholms IF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trelleborg 2-1 Hässleholms IF
Original prediction
Hässleholms IF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.3% | 35.5% | -17.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.6% | 27.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.09 | 22.1% | 37.4% | 15.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Hässleholms IF
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Hässleholms IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60