GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/2/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trelleborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Trelleborg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while gefle IF are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Superettan, while Trelleborg holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trelleborg

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Trelleborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrelleborgDDWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
gefle IFDLWDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Trelleborggefle IF
44.4Attack40.0
42.2Defence50.0
43.3Form41.1
45.3Power45.6
1.43xG1.27
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