GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trelleborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Trelleborg 3-1 Atvidabergs FF

Original prediction

Trelleborg

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8449.5%57.9%8.5 pts
Draw3.6624.9%20.2%-4.7 pts
Away3.5425.7%21.9%-3.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–110%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Trelleborg

Probability

57.9%

Model confidence

57.9%

Trelleborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrelleborgWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atvidabergs FFLDDWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
TrelleborgAtvidabergs FF
71.8Attack63.0
62.8Defence53.1
73.1Form58.0
70.0Power59.0
2.25xG1.25
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