Trelleborgvs
Angelholms FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trelleborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trelleborg 4-1 Angelholms FF
Original prediction
Trelleborg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.0% | 55.1% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.5% | 23.7% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 5.13 | 17.5% | 21.1% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Trelleborg
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Trelleborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60