Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Treibach · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Treibach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Wolfsberg are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Treibach hold a 46.5-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Regionalliga - South, while Treibach holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Treibach
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
13.1%
Treibach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 19 · avg 1.40/3.80