Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Treibach · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Treibach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Velden are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Treibach hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Regionalliga - South, while Treibach holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Treibach
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
14.5%
Treibach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40