Trefelinvs
Flint Town United
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 10/23/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flint Town United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trefelin 0-2 Flint Town United
Original prediction
Flint Town United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 31.5% | 31.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.1% | 26.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.4% | 42.0% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Flint Town United
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Flint Town United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60