Trefelinvs
Cambrian & Clydach
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cambrian & Clydach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trefelin 0-4 Cambrian & Clydach
Original prediction
Cambrian & Clydach
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.59 | 25.0% | 20.7% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.4% | 23.0% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.81 | 49.6% | 56.3% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Cambrian & Clydach
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Cambrian & Clydach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60