Treaty Unitedvs
Wexford
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 9/4/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Treaty United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Treaty United 0-1 Wexford
Original prediction
Treaty United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.6% | 36.3% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.0% | 28.1% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.4% | 35.6% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Treaty United
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Treaty United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00