GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 5/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cork City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Treaty United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cork City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cork City hold a 31.3-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 73.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.5% in the First Division, while Cork City holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cork City

Probability

69.5%

Model confidence

69.5%

Cork City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Treaty UnitedLWDWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Cork CityWWWLL

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Treaty UnitedCork City
32.1Attack70.4
51.9Defence71.6
35.8Form77.8
42.1Power73.4
0.53xG2.04
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