Treaty Unitedvs
Cork City
COMPLETEDIreland · FAI Cup · 7/22/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Treaty United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Treaty United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cork City are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Treaty United hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the FAI Cup, while Treaty United holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Treaty United
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Treaty United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80