GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 10/16/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cobh Ramblers · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Treaty United 2-0 Cobh Ramblers

Original prediction

Cobh Ramblers

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.5625.4%30.7%5.3 pts
Draw3.5325.7%28.8%3.2 pts
Away1.8549.0%40.5%-8.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

Cobh Ramblers

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Cobh Ramblers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Treaty UnitedWLWLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Cobh RamblersLWDLW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Treaty UnitedCobh Ramblers
33.3Attack43.8
49.5Defence50.5
37.1Form46.7
42.2Power48.4
1.04xG1.24
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