GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 2/17/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bray Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Treaty United are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Bray Wanderers are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLWL), averaging 0.25 scored and 2.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bray Wanderers hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the First Division, while Bray Wanderers holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bray Wanderers

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

55.6%

Bray Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Treaty UnitedLLL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.67/4.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Bray WanderersLLWL

GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.25/2.75

BTTS 0/4O2.5 2/4
Treaty UnitedBray Wanderers
32.1Attack66.7
51.9Defence54.3
35.8Form53.1
42.1Power57.2
0.90xG1.84
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