First DivisionFirst Division
Friday, 24 July 2026Last updated 12:39
Treaty United

Treaty United

Home
L
21
Full time
Athlone Town

Athlone Town

Away
W
Markets Field
GoalVio prediction
37% confidence
Treaty United(36%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Treaty United
36%
Draw
29%
Athlone Town
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Treaty United
34
Athlone Town
94
Defence
Treaty United
27
Athlone Town
91
Momentum
Treaty United
0
Athlone Town
100
Danger (xG)
Treaty United
0.90
Athlone Town
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Treaty United)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Athlone Town)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Treaty United)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Athlone Town)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Treaty UnitedTreaty United
LWWDW
Athlone TownAthlone Town
WWLDD

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Treaty United36%
Draw29%
Athlone Town35%

Treaty United leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Treaty United head into this in First Division fixture at Markets Field in mixed form (L), while Athlone Town arrive in mixed form (W). Treaty United have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Athlone Town over 1 games.

Tactically, Athlone Town hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Treaty United defence (27/100), while Treaty United's attack faces a watertight Athlone Town backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Treaty United have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Athlone Town have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Treaty United and Athlone Town in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Treaty United to win with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Treaty United 3618%, Draw 2923%, Athlone Town 3459%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Treaty United

Treaty United

L
vs UCD
17 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Finn Harps
10 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Kerry
3 Jul 2026
21
D
@ Wexford
26 Jun 2026
00
W
vs Finn Harps
15 May 2026
30
Athlone Town

Athlone Town

W
vs Midleton
17 Jul 2026
30
W
vs Cobh Ramblers
10 Jul 2026
20
L
@ Bray Wanderers
3 Jul 2026
01
D
vs Finn Harps
26 Jun 2026
11
D
vs Wexford
19 Jun 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Treaty United vs Athlone Town?

GoalVio's model predicts Treaty United to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Treaty United vs Athlone Town?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Treaty United vs Athlone Town?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Treaty United vs Athlone Town?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more