GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 3/20/2026, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Treaty United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Athlone Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Athlone Town hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.8% in the First Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

19.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Treaty UnitedDDLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Athlone TownWLDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Treaty UnitedAthlone Town
32.1Attack32.1
51.9Defence59.3
35.8Form38.3
42.1Power45.4
0.83xG0.85
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