Treasure Beachvs
Humble Lions
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/4/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Treasure Beach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Treasure Beach 1-1 Humble Lions
Original prediction
Treasure Beach
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.5% | 46.9% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.1% | 26.0% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.25 | 21.4% | 27.1% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Treasure Beach
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Treasure Beach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.40/3.60