GGOALVIO

San-Marino · Campionato · 9/24/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tre Penne · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Tre Penne are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (DLLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 4.50 conceded, while San Marino Academy are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tre Penne hold a 40.7-point power-rating edge (69.0 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.5% in the Campionato, while Tre Penne holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tre Penne

Probability

91.5%

Model confidence

91.5%

Tre Penne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tre PenneDLLL

GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.50/4.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
San Marino AcademyL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Tre PenneSan Marino Academy
81.0Attack35.6
64.8Defence17.8
67.6Form24.4
69.0Power28.4
4.50xG0.61
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