Tre Pennevs
Juvenes / Dogana
COMPLETEDSan-Marino · Campionato · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tre Penne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tre Penne 2-0 Juvenes / Dogana
Original prediction
Tre Penne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.1% | 51.3% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.4% | 24.9% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.86 | 18.4% | 23.8% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Tre Penne
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Tre Penne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60