Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tre Penne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tre Penne are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cosmos are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tre Penne hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (55.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Coppa Titano, while Tre Penne holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tre Penne
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Tre Penne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00