GGOALVIO

San-Marino · Campionato · 8/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tre Fiori · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Tre Fiori are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Pennarossa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tre Fiori hold a 48.4-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 14.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.3% in the Campionato, while Tre Fiori holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tre Fiori

Probability

90.4%

Model confidence

16.3%

Tre Fiori has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tre FioriLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PennarossaLDDWW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tre FioriPennarossa
59.4Attack20.0
66.7Defence0.0
60.4Form8.9
62.4Power14.0
3.56xG0.43
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