UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 7 July 2026Last updated 14:59
Tre Fiori

Tre Fiori

Home
LL
01
Full time
Larne

Larne

Away
WW
San Marino Stadium
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Larne(42%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: Larne
Win probability
Tre Fiori
32%
Draw
27%
Larne
42%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Tre Fiori
18
Larne
54
Defence
Tre Fiori
46
Larne
82
Momentum
Tre Fiori
0
Larne
100
Danger (xG)
Tre Fiori
0.45
Larne
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Tre Fiori)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Larne)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Tre Fiori)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Larne)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Tre FioriTre Fiori
LL
LarneLarne
WW

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Tre Fiori32%
Draw27%
Larne42%

Larne leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Tre Fiori head into this in UEFA Champions League fixture at San Marino Stadium in mixed form (LL), while Larne arrive in decent form (WW). Tre Fiori have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Larne over 2 games.

The model rates Tre Fiori's attack at 18/100 against a 82/100 Larne defence, and Larne's attack at 54/100 against a 46/100 Tre Fiori backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Tre Fiori have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Larne have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Larne have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 2 of the last 2 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Larne to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Tre Fiori 3180%, Draw 2650%, Larne 4170%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Tre Fiori 0Draws 02 Larne
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/2
14 Jul 2026
Tre Fiori
L12
Larne
7 Jul 2026
Tre Fiori
L01
Larne

Recent form

Tre Fiori

Tre Fiori

L
@ Larne
14 Jul 2026
12
L
vs Larne
7 Jul 2026
01
Larne

Larne

W
vs Tre Fiori
14 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Tre Fiori
7 Jul 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tre Fiori vs Larne?

GoalVio's model predicts Larne to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tre Fiori vs Larne?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Tre Fiori vs Larne?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tre Fiori vs Larne?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more