GGOALVIO

San-Marino · Campionato · 9/30/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tre Fiori · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Tre Fiori are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fiorentino are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Tre Fiori hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.7% in the Campionato, while Tre Fiori holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tre Fiori

Probability

71.7%

Model confidence

71.7%

Tre Fiori has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tre FioriDWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
FiorentinoWLW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Tre FioriFiorentino
59.4Attack43.0
66.7Defence38.7
60.4Form40.9
62.4Power42.5
2.48xG0.75
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