Travnikvs
Zvijezda Gradačac
COMPLETEDBosnia · 1st League - FBiH · 9/20/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Travnik · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Travnik 1-0 Zvijezda Gradačac, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Travnik 1-0 Zvijezda Gradačac
Original prediction
Travnik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 60.6% | 57.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.1% | 24.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 5.87 | 15.3% | 17.6% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Projected Score
Travnik 1–0 Zvijezda Gradačac
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Travnik
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Travnik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TravnikWWWWW
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Zvijezda GradačacDLWLL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
TravnikZvijezda Gradačac
80.0Attack20.0
80.0Defence73.3
100.0Form26.7
88.5Power41.7
1.69xG0.64