Travnikvs
GOŠK Gabela
COMPLETEDBosnia · 1st League - FBiH · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Travnik · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Travnik 2-2 GOŠK Gabela
Original prediction
Travnik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.8% | 46.9% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.4% | 28.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.98 | 22.8% | 24.8% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Travnik
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Travnik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60