GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 4/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trasandino · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Trasandino are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Provincial Ovalle are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Trasandino hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Segunda División, while Trasandino holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trasandino

Probability

70.2%

Model confidence

14.3%

Trasandino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrasandinoWDLLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Provincial OvalleLWDWD

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
TrasandinoProvincial Ovalle
46.7Attack30.6
57.8Defence33.3
48.9Form16.7
52.4Power29.8
2.14xG0.66
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