Trasandinovs
Concón National
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trasandino · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trasandino 3-1 Concón National
Original prediction
Trasandino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 03:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.5% | 39.7% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.5% | 28.6% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 32.0% | 31.8% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Trasandino
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Trasandino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40