GGOALVIO

Bhutan · Premier League · 6/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thimphu City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Transport United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Thimphu City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Thimphu City hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (64.5 v 80.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Premier League, while Thimphu City holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thimphu City

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

11.7%

Thimphu City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Transport UnitedLWLWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Thimphu CityLDDWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Transport UnitedThimphu City
52.8Attack97.0
66.7Defence78.8
69.4Form78.8
64.5Power80.9
1.08xG1.89
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