TransINVEST Vilniusvs
Suduva Marijampole
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suduva Marijampole · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
TransINVEST Vilnius 1-2 Suduva Marijampole
Original prediction
Suduva Marijampole
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 30.9% | 27.3% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.7% | 27.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 40.3% | 44.9% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Suduva Marijampole
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Suduva Marijampole has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40