GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 5/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Suduva Marijampole · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

TransINVEST Vilnius are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Suduva Marijampole are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduva Marijampole hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the A Lyga, while Suduva Marijampole holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Suduva Marijampole

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Suduva Marijampole has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TransINVEST VilniusWWWWL

GF 22 · GA 4 · avg 4.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Suduva MarijampoleLDWWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TransINVEST VilniusSuduva Marijampole
53.3Attack53.6
58.7Defence75.4
54.7Form60.9
56.2Power63.5
0.84xG1.24
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