GGOALVIO

Lithuania · Cup · 5/6/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

TransINVEST Vilnius · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

TransINVEST Vilnius are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nevėžis are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and TransINVEST Vilnius hold a 42.1-point power-rating edge (89.1 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.1% in the Cup, while TransINVEST Vilnius holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

TransINVEST Vilnius

Probability

61.1%

Model confidence

61.1%

TransINVEST Vilnius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TransINVEST VilniusWDWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
NevėžisWWWWD

GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
TransINVEST VilniusNevėžis
86.7Attack83.3
80.0Defence16.7
100.0Form50.0
89.1Power47.0
3.63xG1.50
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