TransINVEST Vilniusvs
Hegelmann Litauen
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 10/24/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TransINVEST Vilnius · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
TransINVEST Vilnius 2-0 Hegelmann Litauen
Original prediction
TransINVEST Vilnius
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 68.5% | 65.7% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.79 | 18.7% | 19.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 7.04 | 12.8% | 14.5% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
TransINVEST Vilnius
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
65.7%
TransINVEST Vilnius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00