TransINVEST Vilniusvs
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 9/19/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TransINVEST Vilnius · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
TransINVEST Vilnius 3-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Original prediction
TransINVEST Vilnius
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.2% | 40.8% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.5% | 25.4% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.3% | 33.8% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
TransINVEST Vilnius
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
TransINVEST Vilnius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80