GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jonava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Transinvest 2 1-2 Jonava

Original prediction

Jonava

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.8223.5%22.0%-1.5 pts
Draw3.5225.4%23.0%-2.4 pts
Away1.7551.1%55.1%4.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.0–110%
  3. 3.0–210%

Predicted outcome

Jonava

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

Jonava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Transinvest 2LWLLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JonavaLLLWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Transinvest 2Jonava
36.5Attack38.1
20.6Defence57.1
28.6Form36.5
31.7Power45.3
0.98xG1.73
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