Transinvest 2vs
Hegelmann II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 9/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hegelmann II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Transinvest 2 4-1 Hegelmann II
Original prediction
Hegelmann II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.6% | 38.3% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.4% | 21.5% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 27.0% | 40.2% | 13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Hegelmann II
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Hegelmann II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80