GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 10/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Transinvest 2 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Transinvest 2 3-2 FA Šiauliai II

Original prediction

Transinvest 2

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8249.4%48.8%-0.7 pts
Draw4.0022.5%20.7%-1.7 pts
Away3.2028.1%30.5%2.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–27%

Predicted outcome

Transinvest 2

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Transinvest 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Transinvest 2WDLWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FA Šiauliai IILDWLL

GF 12 · GA 15 · avg 2.40/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Transinvest 2FA Šiauliai II
39.5Attack39.5
27.2Defence23.5
30.9Form22.2
34.9Power30.8
1.99xG1.57
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