GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 8/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tammeka · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Trans Narva 0-2 Tammeka

Original prediction

Tammeka

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3139.1%21.3%-17.8 pts
Draw3.3926.6%22.2%-4.5 pts
Away2.6434.3%56.5%22.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

22.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–212%
  2. 2.0–112%
  3. 3.1–112%

Predicted outcome

Tammeka

Probability

56.5%

Model confidence

56.5%

Tammeka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Trans NarvaWLDWL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
TammekaWWWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Trans NarvaTammeka
25.0Attack40.9
23.6Defence51.5
23.6Form53.0
26.9Power50.7
0.79xG1.84
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