GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/11/2026, 11:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trans Narva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Trans Narva are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Super Nova are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Trans Narva hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Trans Narva holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trans Narva

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Trans Narva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Trans NarvaDDLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Super NovaLWLDD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Trans NarvaSuper Nova
42.9Attack61.1
76.2Defence16.7
57.1Form44.4
60.3Power40.7
2.27xG1.13
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