Trans Narvavs
Nõmme United
SCHEDULEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 10/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nõmme United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.86 | 23.3% | 22.2% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.0% | 20.4% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.67 | 53.8% | 57.4% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Nõmme United
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Nõmme United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Trans NarvaLLLDD
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Nõmme UnitedWWLLL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Trans NarvaNõmme United
26.3Attack54.5
24.2Defence23.2
20.2Form34.3
26.5Power38.2
1.30xG2.35