Trans NarvavsNõmme United

Trans Narva are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nõmme United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme United hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (27.5 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.0% in the Meistriliiga, while Nõmme United holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.