Trans Narvavs
Kuressaare
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 10/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kuressaare · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trans Narva 0-1 Kuressaare
Original prediction
Kuressaare
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 45.9% | 29.8% | -16.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.8% | 26.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.3% | 44.1% | 16.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Kuressaare
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Kuressaare has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80