Trans Narvavs
Kalju Nomme
COMPLETEDEstonia · Cup · 8/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trans Narva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trans Narva 2-0 Kalju Nomme
Original prediction
Trans Narva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.56 | 25.3% | 39.0% | 13.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.3% | 25.1% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 48.4% | 35.9% | -12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
Trans Narva
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Trans Narva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 22 · GA 3 · avg 4.40/0.60